Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 3.918519 4.189381 4.482604 4.826042 5.220471 5.663319 6.204036
2025-02-23 3.465234 3.813477 4.211815 4.708741 5.323519 6.075953 7.095666
2025-03-02 3.069631 3.446836 3.895562 4.482341 5.252156 6.265390 7.776278
2025-03-09 2.809936 3.211168 3.705406 4.380418 5.317737 6.647138 8.852766
2025-03-16 2.558139 2.960433 3.468691 4.185870 5.226937 6.797428 9.664611
2025-03-23 2.415552 2.834440 3.378845 4.176378 5.397159 7.387997 11.537048
2025-03-30 2.277225 2.701866 3.266515 4.119926 5.487614 7.883465 13.599480
2025-04-06 2.143102 2.564440 3.134734 4.018301 5.488705 8.228946 15.673753
2025-04-13 2.009260 2.418366 2.978951 3.862768 5.374194 8.325447 17.255036
2025-04-20 1.947784 2.367237 2.953964 3.907002 5.616819 9.257111 23.089851
2025-04-27 1.896197 2.325980 2.939220 3.965105 5.898394 10.425885 33.905970
2025-05-04 1.861568 2.306039 2.953889 4.073343 6.305218 12.190108 64.825657
2025-05-11 1.800776 2.250529 2.918897 4.109220 6.616243 14.122897 223.640678
2025-05-18 1.734836 2.183794 2.861703 4.100102 6.836835 16.102684 NaN
2025-05-25 1.652328 2.088009 2.751573 3.980837 6.772383 16.962741 NaN
2025-06-01 1.592435 2.023216 2.687300 3.942203 6.907383 19.092578 NaN
2025-06-08 1.520647 1.936839 2.582048 3.812723 6.776731 19.726030 NaN
2025-06-15 1.480847 1.897434 2.552038 3.829330 7.055918 23.720930 NaN
2025-06-22 1.436221 1.848257 2.502140 3.799766 7.200111 27.521132 NaN
2025-06-29 1.387647 1.790694 2.434373 3.725797 7.193146 30.258714 NaN
2025-07-06 1.334040 1.723136 2.345875 3.599979 6.995646 30.494065 NaN
2025-07-13 1.311287 1.703169 2.338431 3.646790 7.377363 41.349558 NaN
2025-07-20 1.291442 1.686771 2.335958 3.704284 7.828803 63.093284 NaN